8 comments
35 forecasters
Will the Harvard endowment be larger in 2119 than in 2019?
55.4%chance
Forecast Timeline
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Authors:
Opened:May 7, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2120
Spot Scoring Time:May 9, 2020
Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?
40.8% chance
38
Will there be another donor on the scale of 2020 Good Ventures in the Effective Altruist space in 2026?
33% chance
79
What % of money held in all US DAFs will be expropriated by 2100?
13.4%
(3.69 - 30)
13.4%
(3.69 - 30)
20 forecasters