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Will the Harvard endowment be larger in 2119 than in 2019?

Harvard University is the oldest university in the United States and has the largest endowment, with $40.9 billion in assets under management (AUM) as of June 30, 2019. The endowment's mission is "to help ensure Harvard University has the financial resources to confidently maintain and expand its leadership in education and research for future generations.".

The Harvard Management Company (HMC), which runs the endowment, intends the endowment to provide Harvard with a source of income for the next hundred years or longer. Will HMC achieve its goal?

On an inflation-adjusted basis, will the Harvard Endowment have more assets under management on June 30, 2119 than it did on June 30, 2019?

If the endowment's AUM as of June 30, 2119 is not publicly known, then this question will be judged using the earliest publicly-known AUM following this date.

The question resolves as negative if any of the following situations occur:

  • Harvard ceases to exist.
  • Harvard continues but its endowment shuts down.
  • Harvard still exists but operates under a wholly different mission (e.g., it no longer teaches students).
  • The endowment's assets still exist under one manager, but the majority is no longer being used for the benefit of Harvard.

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