Question

Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?

Resolved:No

2 comments2

Total Forecasters119

Community Prediction

22%

(10% - 35%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 22%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

61.9

Community Peer Score

16.7

Authors:

paulgabrielsen

Opened:

Feb 14, 2017

Closes:

Mar 15, 2018

Resolves:

Dec 31, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 15, 2017

Geopolitics

2016-2020 Leaderboard

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