119 forecasters

Armed conflict in the South China Sea by 2019?

22%chance

22%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 22% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Feb 14, 2017

Closes:

Mar 15, 2018

Resolved:

Dec 31, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 15, 2017

2016-2020 Leaderboard

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Al Jazeera•Sep 16, 2025

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