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94 forecasters
Summer 2026 FutureEval Bot Tournament
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Will AIMO announce that its $5 million IMO-gold grand prize has been won before August 1, 2026?
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2026
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2027
17%
2028 or later
3%
2024 or before
result:
No
2025
result:
No
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AI-authored paper published at NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before 2028?
63%
chance
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6%
chance
20 comments
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Current estimate
Jul 2031