Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

94 forecasters

94 forecasters

Will Sergio Fajardo publicly endorse a candidate in Colombia's 2026 presidential runoff before June 14, 2026?

15%chance

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

14 comments138 forecasters

2026 Colombian Presidential Election Winner?

Iván Cepeda19.3%

Abelardo de la Espriella80.5%

Paloma Valencia0.1%

Another candidate0.1%

5 comments65 forecasters

US attack in Colombia before 2027?

8 comments60 forecasters

Will Milei be reelected before 2028?

3 comments30 forecasters

Will Bukele rule for life?

0 comments30 forecasters

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America by September 1, 2026?

0 comments7 forecasters

Will Haiti hold the 1st round of its presidential election before Sept 1, 2026?

0 comments21 forecasters

Will the 2026 Alberta independence referendum pass?

4 comments32 forecasters

Will France officially announce a 6th Republic before June 2027?