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Questions

Questions

99 forecasters

99 forecasters

Will a Colombian presidential candidate or campaign staffer be killed in a politically motivated attack between June 1 and June 13, 2026?

20%chance

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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14 comments137 forecasters

2026 Colombian Presidential Election Winner?

Iván Cepeda19.8%

Abelardo de la Espriella80%

Paloma Valencia0.1%

Another candidate0.1%

5 comments65 forecasters

US attack in Colombia before 2027?

0 comments30 forecasters

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America by September 1, 2026?

0 comments7 forecasters

Will Haiti hold the 1st round of its presidential election before Sept 1, 2026?

9 comments125 forecasters

US attack Cuba before 2027?

3 comments30 forecasters

Will Bukele rule for life?

2 comments94 forecasters

(Attempted) murder of ≥2 US judges or legislators in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: Yes

2025-2026result: Yes

1 comment53 forecasters

War between India and Pakistan before 2027?