Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
1
2
forecasters
1 comment
2 forecasters
Quantum Computing
2 more...
When will a logical qubit with per–QEC‑cycle error rate < 10⁻⁶ be demonstrated?
Predict
Follow
share
embed
Current estimate
13 Jul 2030
13 Jul 2030
(23 Mar 2028 - Dec 2033)
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (1)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
When will a logical qubit with error rate < 10⁻⁶ be demonstrated?