🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will be the lowest cost per kilogram, in US dollars, to deliver a payload to LEO or beyond before 2025?

18
16
Total Forecasters51
Community Prediction723 (330 - 1.4k)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
My Prediction
community
<10
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>5k
...
...
...
...
...
2.5%
329.6
722.6
1.399k
3.9%
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Economy & Business
Technology
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Astronomy
Super Heavy
Physics
SpaceX Starship
SpaceX reusable launch system
Elon Musk
US Consumer Price Index
Falcon 9
Aerospace engineering

Comments

? comments