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54 forecasters
3 comments
54 forecasters
Will James M. McDonald be sworn in as US Attorney for the Southern District of New York before August 22, 2026?
33%chance
Top Key Factors
Clayton's status used as leverage in FISA fight
Decreases Likelihood
Senate blue slip requirement blocks nomination
Decreases Likelihood
Trump taps James M. McDonald as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New Yorkpbs.org•Jun 13, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Trump taps James M. McDonald as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New Yorkpbs.org•Jun 13, 2026
Increases Likelihood
Senate blue slip requirement blocks nomination
Decreases Likelihood
Clayton's status used as leverage in FISA fight
Decreases Likelihood