Question

What is the greatest number of people who, for non-medical purposes, use a newly discovered drug at any year between 2021 and 2070?

Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction
366M people
(6.23M people - 4.18B people)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%6.231M
median365.7M
upper 75%4.183B
Upper bound
>7B20.8%
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Authors:
Opened:May 22, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2071
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2071
Spot Scoring Time:May 24, 2020