15 comments
103 forecasters
By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?
58%chance
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Authors:
Opened:May 20, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2067
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2067
Spot Scoring Time:May 20, 2020
Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?
65% chance
87
Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?
17% chance
16
Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?
58% chance
281