Question
By 1 January 2067, will any medical interventions for healthy adults extend average lifespans by at least 25 years?
Total Forecasters100
Community Prediction
58%
(33% - 78%)
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Authors:
Opened:May 20, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2067
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2067
Spot Scoring Time:May 20, 2020
Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?
65%
Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?
20%
When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?
May 2063
Authors:
Opened:May 20, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2067
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2067
Spot Scoring Time:May 20, 2020
Five years after AGI, will there be widely available radical life extension treatment?
65%
Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?
20%
When will biological lifespans increase faster than 0.75 years per year?
May 2063