Question
What proportion of 2020 U.S. House of Representatives elections without a running incumbent will be won by Republicans?
Resolved:0.694Total Forecasters29
Community Prediction
0.619
(0.563 - 0.675)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 0.5627 | — |
| median | 0.6186 | — |
| upper 75% | 0.6752 | — |
What was the final result?0.694
Community Baseline Score
48.6
Community Peer Score
2.1
Authors:
Opened:Aug 23, 2020
Closes:Nov 3, 2020
Resolves:Mar 24, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 25, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Aug 23, 2020
Closes:Nov 3, 2020
Resolves:Mar 24, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 25, 2020