Question
When will North Korea become a democracy?
Total Forecasters53
Community Prediction
Aug 2072
(May 2047 - 2115)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | May 2047 | — |
| median | Aug 2072 | — |
| upper 75% | 2115 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2199 | 8.3% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 24, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2060
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:May 26, 2020
Authors:
Opened:May 24, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2060
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:May 26, 2020