Question
When will North Korea become a democracy?
Total Forecasters53
Community Prediction
May 2069
(Jul 2044 - 2111)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jul 2044 | — |
| median | May 2069 | — |
| upper 75% | 2111 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2199 | 7.7% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:May 24, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2060
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:May 26, 2020
Authors:
Opened:May 24, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2060
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:May 26, 2020