Question
When will North Korea become a democracy?
Total Forecasters52
Community Prediction
2075
(2045 - 2121)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2045 | — |
| median | 2075 | — |
| upper 75% | 2121 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >725803200000% | 8.9% | — |
Authors:
Opened:May 24, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2060
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:May 26, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
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Authors:
Opened:May 24, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2060
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:May 26, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch