Question
When will be the next "Great Power" war?
Resolved:21 Apr 2024 16:00Total Forecasters154
Community Prediction
Jul 2035
(19 Jan 2026 - Jan 2058)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 19 Jan 2026 | — |
| median | Jul 2035 | — |
| upper 75% | Jan 2058 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2199 | 5.6% | — |
What was the final result?21 Apr 2024 16:00
Community Baseline Score
1.7
Community Peer Score
1.1
Authors:
Opened:May 29, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Resolves:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:May 31, 2020
Authors:
Opened:May 29, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Resolves:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:May 31, 2020
