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1
46
forecasters
1 comment
46 forecasters
Metaculus Cup Summer 2026
3 more...
How many vehicles will enter Sturgis for the 86th Annual Sturgis Motorcycle Rally?
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Current estimate
492k Vehicles
492k Vehicles
(469k - 512k)
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Top Key Factors
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Mean reversion expected in non-anniversary years
Less Vehicles
1
0
Anniversary years increase traffic
More Vehicles
1
0
Comments (1)
Timeline
Key Factors (2)
Question Info
Similar Questions
Mean reversion expected in non-anniversary years
Less Vehicles
1
0
Anniversary years increase traffic
More Vehicles
1
0
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