21 comments
131 forecasters
In 2016, will an AI player beat a professionally ranked human in the ancient game of Go?
90%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 90% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Authors:
Opened:Dec 22, 2015
Closes:Mar 1, 2016
Resolved:Mar 15, 2016
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 24, 2015
When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?
Jan 2033
(26 Dec 2027 - Jul 2048)
Jan 2033
(26 Dec 2027 - Jul 2048)
39 forecasters
Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?
62% chance
38
When will AI first be revealed to be superhuman at the board game Diplomacy?
11 Jul 2027
(03 May 2026 - 30 Jul 2029)
11 Jul 2027
(03 May 2026 - 30 Jul 2029)
101 forecasters