Question
If the human population declines to fewer than 100 million, how many years would pass until the population is above 1 billion again?
Total Forecasters55
Community Prediction
1241 years
(451 years - >3000 years)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 451 | — |
| median | 1241 | — |
| upper 75% | >3000 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >3000 | 26.7% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 4, 2020
Closes:Jan 21, 5025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 21, 5025
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 6, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jun 4, 2020
Closes:Jan 21, 5025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 21, 5025
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 6, 2020