Question
How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?
Total Forecasters51
Community Prediction
1.04M B
(191k B - 8.55M B)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 191.1k B | — |
| median | 1.039M B | — |
| upper 75% | 8.547M B | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >1B B | 5.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 4, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 6, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jun 4, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 6, 2020