10
125 forecasters

Who will win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

Gukesh Dommaraju
29%
Javokhir Sindarov
71%
Top Key Factors
Sindarov favored by simulation model
Increases Likelihood for Javokhir Sindarov
Rating gaps compress, reducing Sindarov's edge
Decreases Likelihood
Sindarov voted FIDE player of the year
Increases Likelihood for Javokhir Sindarov