5
73 forecasters

How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?

Fewer than 39
38.5%
39
21.8%
40
19.5%
41
11.1%
More than 41
9.1%
Top Key Factors
Executions still fail and outside intervention (eg SCOTUS, governors) may reduce 2026 numbers
Decreases Likelihood
Hasan can pretty much decide whether his execution will be this year
Decreases Likelihood
Florida execution record incentives
Increases Likelihood
Seven more executions likely in 2026
Increases Likelihood for 39
How many executions will be carried out in the US in 2026?