46 comments
114 forecasters
Will a TikTok user hit 100m followers by the end of 2020?
78%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 78% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 4, 2020
Closes:Aug 31, 2020
Resolved:Nov 22, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 5, 2020
When will a currently unknown social media app reach one billion downloads worldwide?
01 Oct 2025
(30 Aug 2024 - 14 Dec 2026)
01 Oct 2025
(30 Aug 2024 - 14 Dec 2026)
93 forecasters
Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026?
1% chance
142
Will Bluesky reach 100 million users before the end of 2025?
1% chance
439