180 forecasters

Which AI lab's model will rank #1 on the LMArena Text Arena overall leaderboard on October 1, 2026?

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Anthropic (Claude)
52.3%
OpenAI (GPT)
24.9%
Google (Gemini)
12.2%
xAI (Grok)
5.4%
Any other lab
5.2%