Question
When will the Catholic Church Elect a new Pope?
Resolved:08 May 2025 16:00Total Forecasters147
Community Prediction
20 May 2025
(30 Mar 2025 - 14 Jul 2025)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 30 Mar 2025 | — |
| median | 20 May 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | 14 Jul 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2036 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?08 May 2025 16:00
Community Baseline Score
17.1
Community Peer Score
6.8
Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2020
Closes:Dec 17, 2036
Resolves:Dec 17, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 10, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2020
Closes:Dec 17, 2036
Resolves:Dec 17, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 10, 2020