Question
How many more Starship prototypes will be destroyed before one flies?
Resolved:3Total Forecasters71
Community Prediction
3.11
(2.88 - 4.15)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2.877 | — |
| median | 3.113 | — |
| upper 75% | 4.15 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >15 | 0.4% | — |
What was the final result?3
Community Baseline Score
105.0
Community Peer Score
42.8
Authors:
Opened:Jun 17, 2020
Closes:Jan 2, 2021
Resolves:Jan 2, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 19, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jun 17, 2020
Closes:Jan 2, 2021
Resolves:Jan 2, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 19, 2020