Question

If Labour wins the next UK general election, what will the England & Wales prison population rate per 100,000 people be 5 years later?

2

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction

129 per 100k

(123 per 100k - 135 per 100k)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	<100	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>180
community	1.4%	122.9	128.6	134.7	0.5%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—	—

Lower bound	community	My Prediction
<100	1.4%	—
Quartiles
lower 25%	122.9	—
median	128.6	—
upper 75%	134.7	—
Upper bound
>180	0.5%	—

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Jun 24, 2020

Closes:

Dec 30, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 26, 2020

Authors:

Opened:

Jun 24, 2020

Closes:

Dec 30, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 26, 2020