Question
When will @JoeBiden reach 10% as many Twitter followers as @realdonaldtrump?
Resolved:17 Aug 2020 21:53Total Forecasters71
Community Prediction
20 Aug 2020 03:11
(12 Aug 2020 16:04 - 28 Aug 2020)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <30 Jun 2020 | 0.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 12 Aug 2020 16:04 | — |
| median | 20 Aug 2020 03:11 | — |
| upper 75% | 28 Aug 2020 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >31 Dec 2022 | 1.9% | — |
What was the final result?17 Aug 2020 21:53
Community Baseline Score
34.0
Community Peer Score
11.8
Authors:
Opened:Jun 19, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 21, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jun 19, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 21, 2020