Question
What fraction of the US Congress will be held by women following the election on November 3, 2020?
Resolved:0.2673Total Forecasters60
Community Prediction
0.28
(0.256 - 0.306)
Make a Prediction
CDF
Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
lower 25% | 0.2559 | — |
median | 0.2801 | — |
upper 75% | 0.3055 | — |
What was the final result?0.2673
Community Baseline Score
123.0
Community Peer Score
14.9
Authors:
Opened:Jun 19, 2020
Closes:Nov 2, 2020
Resolves:Feb 11, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 21, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jun 19, 2020
Closes:Nov 2, 2020
Resolves:Feb 11, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 21, 2020