15 comments
41 forecasters
How long will it take to listen to every episode of the 80,000 Hours Podcast released in 2020?
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 19, 2020
Closes:Aug 31, 2020
Resolved:Dec 31, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 21, 2020
How many of the "priority paths" identified by 80,000hours will still be priority paths in 2030?
5.7 paths
(4.92 - 6.47)
5.7 paths
(4.92 - 6.47)
26 forecasters
How many members will Giving What We Can have on 2029-11-15, its 20th anniversary?
21.5k members
(15.1k - 31.1k)
21.5k members
(15.1k - 31.1k)
22 forecasters
Will the total interest in Effective Altruism on Google Trends in 2030 be at least 0.2 times the total interest in 2017?
79% chance
90