53 forecasters

Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?

18%chance

18%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 18% chance, and it resolved No.

Authors:

Opened:

May 20, 2017

Closes:

Jun 30, 2017

Resolved:

Jan 10, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

May 20, 2017

Natural Sciences

🏆 2017 Leaderboard

3I/ATLAS Gets Mystery Acceleration—Harvard Astronomer Behind Alien Theory

Newsweek•Oct 31, 2025

Mysterious interstellar visitor set to reveal its true self in just HOURS

Daily Mail•Oct 29, 2025

Scientists reveal all the strange behaviors of interstellar visitor 3I/ATLAS that deepen the mystery of its origins

Daily Mail•Oct 26, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch