Question

What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric in 2030?

44 comments44

Total Forecasters118

Community Prediction

10.4%

(6.08% - 16.7%)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	6.077%	10.35%	16.73%
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	6.077%	—
median	10.35%	—
upper 75%	16.73%	—

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Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Jun 26, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 28, 2020

Economy & Business

Technology

The great EV pullback has begun

Verge•Jul 11, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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