Question

What percentage of vehicles on US roads will be fully electric in 2030?

44 comments44

Total Forecasters121

Community Prediction

10.5%

(6.17% - 17.1%)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	6.17%	10.5%	17.07%
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	6.17%	—
median	10.5%	—
upper 75%	17.07%	—

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Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Jun 26, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 28, 2020

Economy & Business

Technology

Trump Will Slow, but May Not Stop the Rise of Electric Vehicles

•Aug 3, 2025

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What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles?

11.2

Conditional on the number of public charging stations, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are zero-emission vehicles?

53.4