164 forecasters

Will the US ban TikTok by the end of the year?

29%chance

29%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 29% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 3, 2020

Closes:

Jul 31, 2020

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 4, 2020

Economy & Business

2020 Leaderboard

Officials announce a 'framework' for keeping TikTok online in the U.S.

NPR Online News•Sep 15, 2025

Bessent says US, China have reached ‘framework’ for TikTok deal ahead of looming ban

New York Post•Sep 15, 2025

Trump suggests a TikTok deal with China has been made that will save the app

Independent•Sep 15, 2025

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