6 comments
118 forecasters
Efficacy confirmation of a new Alzheimer's treatment protocol?
35%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 35% chance, and it resolved No.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Jun 12, 2017
Closes:Jan 1, 2021
Resolved:Feb 18, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 14, 2017
Will a partial reprogramming-based therapy receive regulatory approval for treating Alzheimer’s disease before January 1, 2035?
48% chance
9
Will there be broad scientific consensus that herpes viruses are implicated in the pathogenesis of dementia, before 2040?
51% chance
5
When will a vaccine for any major neurodegenerative disease receive regulatory approval?
Feb 2037
(May 2031 - >Jan 2040)
Feb 2037
(May 2031 - >Jan 2040)
5 forecasters