Will Scott Morrison be Prime Minister of Australia on 1 July 2021?

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Question

Australia's parliamentary system gives members of the party in government the ability to vote on their leader, and so change the ruling Prime Minister outside of an election.

Australia's recent political history has also been characterised by frequent 'leadership spills'. In the last 13 years, there have been four successful leadership spills by the party in government, and five separate Prime Ministers.

In late 2019 and early 2020, Scott Morrison (the Prime Minister of Australia at the time of writing) saw a number of challenges to his popular approval, including controversy over a trip to Hawaii during a catastrophic bushfire season. Since the last election, at least one poll indicates that the two major parties have been within four points of one another. Given Australia's recent history of 'leadership spills', this question asks:

Will Scott Morrison be Prime Minister of Australia on 1 July 2021?

This question will resolve as positive if, on 1 July 2021, the Australian government's official Prime Minister website 'pm.gov.au' lists 'Scott Morrison' as the current Prime Minister, negative if another name is listed, and ambiguous otherwise.

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Politics

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