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68
comments
501
forecasters
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?
25%
chance
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Predict
Comments
Timeline
In the News
Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
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embed
Authors:
tetraspace
Opened:
Aug 1, 2020
Closes:
Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:
Aug 2, 2020
Geopolitics
News Match
Turning Back From the Brink of Nuclear War
AntiWar
•
Oct 23, 2025
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
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