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68
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502
forecasters
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?
25%
chance
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Authors:
tetraspace
Opened:
Aug 1, 2020
Closes:
Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:
Aug 2, 2020
Geopolitics
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Nov 6, 2025
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•
Nov 6, 2025
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Forbes
•
Nov 5, 2025
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