9 comments
142 forecasters
Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?
92%chance
The community sees this as a toss-up.
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jul 16, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2200
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2300
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 18, 2020