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9
145
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30
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145 forecasters
AGI Outcomes
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Will artificial superintelligence precede the achievement of longevity escape velocity, if either occur by year 2300?
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Date Life Expectancy Hits Escape Velocity
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Time From (weak) AGI to Superintelligence
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Date when lifespan increases >0.75 yrs/yr
Current estimate
Sep 2063
7 comments
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Date of AI-Driven Human Extinction
Current estimate
Apr 2048