11 comments
122 forecasters
Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?
27%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 27% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Jun 18, 2017
Closes:Jun 30, 2018
Resolved:Mar 29, 2020
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 19, 2017
When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?
Nov 2070
(Sep 2054 - 2095)
Nov 2070
(Sep 2054 - 2095)
53 forecasters
Will at least 95% of all new road vehicles with 4+ wheels sold in the US in 2075 have SAE Level 5 autonomy?
94% chance
48
On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?
0.1% chance
40