Question

What will be the mass in eV of the next fundamental particle to be discovered?

Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction
6.28T eV
(<100B eV - 1.8×10¹⁵ eV)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<100B eV32.2%
Quartiles
lower 25%<100B eV
median6.279T eV
upper 75%1.8×10¹⁵ eV
Upper bound
>1×10¹⁶ eV18.3%
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 16, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 18, 2020