Question

In the 2020 US Presidential election, when will the losing candidate concede?

Resolved:07 Jan 2021 00:00
Total Forecasters96
Community Prediction
17 Nov 2020
(06 Nov 2020 - 14 Dec 2020)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%06 Nov 2020
median17 Nov 2020
upper 75%14 Dec 2020
Upper bound
>20 Jan 202113.6%

What was the final result?07 Jan 2021 00:00

Community Baseline Score
-75.0
Community Peer Score
55.2
Authors:
Opened:Jul 19, 2020
Closes:Nov 3, 2020
Resolves:Jan 6, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 20, 2020