Question
In the 2020 US Presidential election, when will the losing candidate concede?
Resolved :07 Jan 2021Total Forecasters96
Community Prediction
17 Nov 2020
(06 Nov 2020 - 14 Dec 2020)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 06 Nov 2020 | — |
| median | 17 Nov 2020 | — |
| upper 75% | 14 Dec 2020 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >161110080000% | 13.6% | — |
What was the final result?07 Jan 2021
Community Baseline Score
-75.0
Community Peer Score
55.2
Authors:
Opened:Jul 19, 2020
Closes:Nov 3, 2020
Resolves:Jan 6, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 20, 2020
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 19, 2020
Closes:Nov 3, 2020
Resolves:Jan 6, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 20, 2020