Question

Will the median prediction on this question fall in range [1-48]% OR [95-99]%?

Resolved:Yes

-18

122 comments122

Total Forecasters173

Community Prediction

99%

(95% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

98.3

Community Peer Score

14.2

Authors:

Alexander230

Opened:

Jul 16, 2020

Closes:

Aug 15, 2020

Resolves:

Aug 16, 2020

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 17, 2020

Metaculus

2020 Leaderboard

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