Question
How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?
Total Forecasters52
Community Prediction
69.7k deaths
(43.7k deaths - 128k deaths)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 43.75k | — |
| median | 69.69k | — |
| upper 75% | 127.7k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >10M | 0.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 16, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 18, 2020
Authors:
Opened:Jul 16, 2020
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 18, 2020