Question

In the 2024 US presidential election, how many states will use plurality voting methods to choose their electors?

Resolved:49
Total Forecasters59
Community Prediction
49.6
(48.5 - 50.3)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%48.54
median49.58
upper 75%50.34

What was the final result?49

Community Baseline Score
119.6
Community Peer Score
11.6
Authors:
Opened:Jul 25, 2020
Closes:Nov 7, 2024
Resolves:Nov 8, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 27, 2020