Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
a
/
文
Log in
Sign Up
50
comments
110
forecasters
How many parameters will GPT-4 have (if it is released), in billions of parameters?
community
3596
result
Ambiguous
Share
Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments
Timeline
Question Info
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
Follow
embed
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Jul 21, 2020
Closes:
Jul 8, 2021
Resolved:
Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:
Jul 23, 2020
Artificial Intelligence
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Similar Questions
How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?
929k B
(180k - 8.03M)
929k B
(180k - 8.03M)
51
forecasters
When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?
8
Mar 2034
6
Jun 2032
4
31 May 2029
1 other
21
forecasters
Will a dense machine learning model with at least 100 trillion parameters be trained before 2026?
22%
chance
54
Show More Questions