Question

How many parameters will GPT-4 have (if it is released), in billions of parameters?

Resolved:Ambiguous
Total Forecasters110
Community Prediction
3596
(1445 - 8909)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<1752.3%
Quartiles
lower 25%1445
median3596
upper 75%8909
Upper bound
>50k2.4%

What was the final result?Ambiguous

Opened:Jul 21, 2020
Closes:Jul 8, 2021
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2020