Submit Essay

Once you submit your essay, you can no longer edit it.

# Will Project Vesta still exist in 2030?

### Question

Stripe, a financial-services company, committed last year to spending at least $1M/year on negative emissions and carbon storage technologies, at any price, with the aim of helping these technologies develop. They recently wrote up a summary of their first set of these purchases. This miniseries aims to predict the success of the companies that Stripe chose. Stripe has purchased 3333.3 tons of negative emissions from Project Vesta at$75 per ton.

Project Vesta captures CO2 by using an abundant, naturally occurring mineral called olivine. Ocean waves grind down the olivine, increasing its surface area. As the olivine breaks down, it captures atmospheric CO2 from within the ocean and stabilizes it as limestone on the seafloor. They have not publicly set a long-term price target.

On 2030/7/1, will Project Vesta still be selling negative emissions using broadly similar technology to their 2020 approach?

This question resolves positive if this question has an unambiguous resolution. Otherwise, it resolves negative.

### Prediction

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. All of your predictions came after the resolution, so you did not gain (or lose) any points for it.

Note: this question resolved before its original close time. You earned points up until the question resolution, but not afterwards.

Current points depend on your prediction, the community's prediction, and the result. Your total earned points are averaged over the lifetime of the question, so predict early to get as many points as possible! See the FAQ.