Question
Will OpenAI reach its profit cap for the first round of investors by 2035?
Total Forecasters72
Community Prediction
50%
(40% - 59%)
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 23, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 25, 2020
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Before 2026, will OpenAI's commercial operations cease to be governed by its nonprofit board of directors?
6%
Which year will OpenAI, DeepMind, or Anthropic first reach a valuation of at least $1 trillion?
Will OpenAI have triggered its 'Assist Clause' in order to support another lab, before January 1st of the following years?
Authors:
Opened:Aug 23, 2020
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 25, 2020
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Before 2026, will OpenAI's commercial operations cease to be governed by its nonprofit board of directors?
6%