45 forecasters

Will a language model with at least 100B parameters trained to do external information retrieval exist before 2023?

60%chance

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 60% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 15, 2020

Closes:

Mar 30, 2021

Resolved:

Dec 23, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 17, 2020